Let me start with a very clear statement – all forecasts indicate that Sea Dragon and her crew are SAFE!
Now that being clear, we should really marvel at the unbelievable power of the sea- Super Typhoon Guchol is now forecast to peak at a powerful 160 kts driving 45+ foot seas as she grinds her way north over Okinawa and then into the Japanese mainland.
Sea Dragon is at least 1000 miles out and well safe. The crew will however likely feel the effects of this massive storm in the form of big, long period ocean swells – the enduring hyrdo-dynamic signature of such a system.
This came in from Rodrigo this am:
Thanks for weather report. Any chance to send the actual position of Guchol as well as the forecast?. This way, it gives me a good idea of what is doing and moving. We are at 30N and 159E aproximately at 1100 UTC, heading 120 M with light ENE winds and clear skies, holding tight to the wind to not do too much south component.
All well here, looking forward to hear more about Guchol. Fell bad for Japan to get yet another hard blow a year later.
Will continue updates
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171200Z — NEAR 19.7N 127.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT